war152 wrote:
4 look at my team, and think agin if you believe it will go nowhere.
OK, I did, and it won't.
Here are my reasons:
1) Your roster is thin at top.
Your best players are actually pretty solid. Your five best players >90 (my weights) include your DE, DT, and QB. Your P/K are both >90, nothing wrong with that, but then you have another K that is rated 86. Why? Did your other kicker get hurt at some point?
The middle of the roster is where things become pear shaped. You only have six players >70. In my weights, 70 is the cut off for whether a player will be a solid backup and spot starter with the exception of a few positions. Part of this reason is that my weights are set in a way that emphasizes a players core attributes at position, which causes some players to be inflated.
What this tells me is that if we subtract your P and Ks, you have 13 players >70, so only one-quarter of your team are players that I would consider as solid players or better.
2) You players at key positions are not good.
A good running game can be one of the great equalizers in this game, and a good running game starts with backs that can make things happen on their own. Unfortunately, your top three running backs have speeds of 64, 69, and 30? None of those backs are going to run away from anyone.
Similarly, all of your WRs have SPs of <70. Your best WR, as was discussed above, has a SP of 57. So even when he gets open and catches the ball -- which he should because of his route, courage, and catch -- he's not going to run away from a defender.
This will mean that your offense will need to grind for points. This is particularly problematic given that this game loves the big play by big play makers. (There are reasons I way overspent for a 100 potential RB.)
3) The back seven of your defense is terrible.
You currently have two LBs. Why? As underpowered as they are, a good LB corps will help you stop a run game.
More importantly, you only have two DBs with SPs above 60. Given the predominance of big plays in this game, you need your DBs to come clean up plays.